From Guru of Patras
06/12/2011 (16:34)
Khimky – PAOK
Khimky (last results)
Cholet 75-63
Riga 90-70
PAOK 71-62 *
PAOK (last results)
RIGA 74-80
Cholet 74-62
Khimky 62-71
** Strange game to bet with the changes in the roster, the
absences of Khimky and the returning players of PAOK. Logically, this is a game
in 10-15 points marginal. If you have to choose PAOK looks possible, but weird
game in general.
Banvit – Gran Canaria
Banvit (last results)
Frankfurt 73-72
Lokomotiv Kuban 67-75
Gran Canaria 61-85
Gran Canaria (last results)
Lokomotiv Kuban 84-76
Frankfurt 71-58
Banvit 85-61
** Weird game as the GC can be relatively relaxed since it
has 3/3. Banvit is looking for a win and has the opportunity here. In prerequisites
due to the odds in 1.80 which is good.
Nymburk – Rudupis
Nymburk (last results)
Aris 64-55
Gasterra 93-60
Rudupis 91-79
Rudupis (last results)
Gasterra Flames 82-77
Aris 60-71
Nymburk 79-91
** Walk for Nymburk and they can go the difference as much
as they want. It’s difficult for them to allow more than 65p unless it’s a very
open and relaxed pace in the game. The handicap of 14p is logical and we can go
with Nymburk.
Chibona – Donetsk
Chibona (last results)
Gravelines 71-101
Hapoel Jer 73-89
Donetsk 81-98
Donetsk (last results)
Hapoel Jer 80-71
Gravelines 53-78
Cibona 98-81
* Normally Donetsk is in better shape and has the slight
edge but weak on the road and the game wants attention. No Bet.
Lietuvos – Le Mans
Lietuvos (last results)
Krka 73-65 *
Azovmash 83-55
Le Mans 79-62
Le Mans (last results)
Azovmash 76-79
Krka 65-84
Lietuvos 62-79
** Easily for Lietuvos but be careful with the big handicap.
Certainly if we look at Le Mans this year as they are getting beaten by 20
points in Europe, why not go with the home team for them with -12.
Buducnost – Dexia Mons
Buducnost (last results)
Turow 75-50
Alba 68-86
Mons 53-66
Mons (last results)
Alba 74-78
Turow 66-67
Buducnost 66-53
** Significant match to qualify, just a slight edge for the
home team but a tough game in which whoever scores 70p probably wins! Tricky
the 1.30 for the home team and prefer to go with +7 of Mons in a prerequisite.
Turow – ALBA
Turow (last results)
Buducnost 50-75
Mons 67-66
Alba 68-79
ALBA (last results)
Mons 78-74
Buducnost 86-68
Turow 79-68
** The odds of 1.65 for ALBA are good for their name and form
and Turow does not score even 65p. But be careful that it has gaps in their
performance… Cunning game so we have to be careful.
Frankfurt – Lokomotiv Kuban
Frankfurt (last results)
Banvit 72-73
Gran Canaria 58-71
Lokomotiv Kuban 60-83
Lokomotiv Kuban (last results)
Gran Canaria 76-84
Banvit 75-67
Frankfurt 83-60
** Evil game and both teams have problems and do not perform
according to their value. Frankfurt recovers and perhaps Lokomotiv Kuban is more
ready, complete and expensive team, but we better leave this one out.
Aris – Gasterra Flames
Aris (last results)
Nymburk 55-64
Rudupis 71-60
Gasterra 58-51
Gasterra Flames (last results)
Rudupis 77-82
Nymburk 60-93
Aris 51-58
** Aris wins easily and with 13p reasonably can get the
handicap although the Dutch team will try to stay close. With Nymburk opened
the gap at the end. Big trouble in scoring for Gasterra they will hardly score 65p.
Aris wants to make a comfortable victory and we put it in the -13.
Gravelines – Hapoel Jerusalem
Gravelines (last results)
Chibona 101-71
Donetsk 78-53
Hapoel Jer 91-75
Hapoel Jerusalem (last results)
Donetsk 71-80
Cibona 89-73
Gravelines 75-91
** Easy win for Gravelines but be careful with the big
handicap. No Bet.
Krka – Azovmash
Krka (last results)
Lietuvos 65-73
Le Mans 84-65
Azovmash 71-66
Azovmash (last results)
Le Mans 79-76
Lietuvos 55-83
Krka 66-71
** Strange game, just a slight edge to the home team but no
value at 1.30.
Bayern – Spartak SP
Bayern
Benetton 72-62
Cedevita 64-70
Spartak 62-75
Spartak SP
Cedevita 73-56
Benetton 87-78
Bayern 75-62
** A very close game but we go with the home team Bayern that
is a team that is improving. Spartak will have problems in the offense without having
Mavrokefalidis in the line-up. Of course Spartak will pressure the weak Bayern
playmakers but again it is a game on the road and Bayern in 1,80-1.90 is a very
good price.
Valencia – Akademik
Valencia (last results)
Villeurbanne 78-87
Oostende 75-62
Akademik 72-64
Akademik (last results)
Oostende 66-65
Villeurbanne 66-62
Valencia 64-72
** Valencia wants attention with the big handicap and we
should pick most likely Akademik in +13. Since Valencia doesn;t open up the
score in games and has absences.
Villeurbanne – Oostende
Villeurbanne (last results)
Valencia 87-78
Akademik 62-66
Oostende 70-53
Oostende (last results)
Akademik 65-66
Valencia 62-75
Villeurbanne 53-70
** Villeurbanne reasonably wins easily but don’t get entangled
with all these changes at 1.10 and 10p.
Cholet – RIGA
Cholet (last results)
Khimki 63-75
PAOK 62-74
RIGA 53-69
RIGA (last results)
PAOK 80-74
Khimki 70-90
Cholet 69-53
** Riga is a fighting team and worked without American
stars. It has many talented and Latvian international players and has found team
chemistry with an experienced coach of the Butautas. Evil game, slight edge,
however to the home team but don’t mess with it. Towards Riga with +3 but don’t
forget that is a soft team away.
Benetton – Cedevita
Benetton (last results)
Bayern 62-72
Spartak 78-87
Cedevita 87-86 (overtime)
Cedevita (last results)
Spartak 56-73
Bayern 70-64
Benetton 86-87 (overtime)
** Great game but we’re going with Cedevita because it has better
quality roster and clearly deeper. Very good is the win, but we prefer the +2
or and +3 that offers.
Our evaluation
Tricky day with a lot of changes since the NBA lockout has
ended, and a lot of team rosters have changes and absences. Beware those teams
that have secure qualification. Generally a few choices today, but good yields.
Possible Bets
Wins: Banvit, Alba, Bayern
Handicap: Nymburk -14, Lietuvos -12, Mons +7, Aris -13, Akademik
+13, Cedevita +2
Our Predictions
Wins: Bayern after Banvit
Handicap: Cedevita +2